martes, 25 de octubre de 2016

La situación de los estados indecisos, según las encuestas, a dos semanas de las elecciones

Las encuestas de la última semana en los 20 estados potencialmente más indecisos:


Alaska (3 votos electorales)


UPI/CVoter
: Trump 54, Clinton 41
Google Consumer Surveys: Trump 37, Clinton 28, Johnson 9


Arizona (11 votos electorales)


Data Orbital: Clinton 41, Trump 41, Johnson 5, Stein 2
Arizona State University: Clinton 43, Trump 38, Johnson 7, Stein 1
The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Trump 44, Clinton 41, Johnson 10, Stein 3
Reuters/Ipsos: Trump 45, Clinton 43
Google Consumer Surveys: Clinton 42, Trump 31, Johnson 5


Colorado (9 votos electorales)


The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Clinton 44, Trump 37, Johnson 12, Stein 4
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 45, Trump 41
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 50, Trump 45


Florida (29 votos electorales)


Yougov/CBS: Clinton 46, Trump 43, Johnson 3, Stein 2

The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Trump 45, Clinton 43, Johnson 7, Stein 3
Opinion Savvy: Clinton 49, Trump 45, Johnson 3, Stein 2
Auto Alliance/ELSA/Pulse Opinion Research: Clinton 46, Trump 41, Johnson 4, Stein 2
The Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton 45, Trump 39, Johnson 6, Stein 2
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 48, Trump 44
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 49, Trump 47


Georgia (16 votos electorales)


Opinion Savvy: Trump 50, Clinton 46, Johnson 3
Landmark Communications: Trump 47, Clinton 43, Johnson 5
Atlanta Journal-Constitution: Trump 44, Clinton 42, Johnson 9

The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Clinton 45, Trump 41, Johnson 9, Stein 2
The Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton 44, Trump 40, Johnson 8
Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies: Trump 46, Clinton 43, Johnson 3
Reuters/Ipsos: Trump 49, Clinton 41
UPI/CVoter: Trump 48, Clinton 46
Google Consumer Surveys: Trump 42, Clinton 33, Johnson 7


Iowa (6 votos electorales)


The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Trump 45, Clinton 40, Johnson 10, Stein 2
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 46, Trump 43
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 49, Trump 48
Google Consumer Surveys: Clinton 34, Trump 33, Johnson 9


Maine (este estado reparte 2 votos electorales al ganador estatal y uno al ganador de cada distrito)


Estado


Maine People's Resource Center: Clinton 42, Trump 36, Johnson 9, Stein 4
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 48, Trump 39
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 55, Trump 42
Google Consumer Surveys: Clinton 37, Trump 36, Johnson 7


Distrito 1


Maine People's Resource Center: Clinton 46, Trump 36, Johnson 8, Stein 4


Distrito 2


Maine People's Resource Center: Clinton 38, Trump 37, Johnson 11, Stein 4


Michigan (16 votos electorales)


MRG: Clinton 41, Trump 36, Johnson 7, Stein 3

The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Clinton 45, Trump 37, Johnson 11, Stein 5
Fox 2 Detroit: Clinton 51, Trump 38, Johnson 6, Stein 2
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 45, Trump 41
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 51, Trump 45
Google Consumer Surveys: Clinton 37, Trump 28, Johnson 8


Minnesota (10 votos electorales)


Minneapolis Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon: Clinton 47, Trump 39, Johnson 6, Stein 1, McMullin 1
SurveyUSA: Clinton 46, Trump 39, Johnson 6, Stein 2
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 44, Trump 32
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 50, Trump 47
Google Consumer Surveys: Clinton 36, Trump 29, Johnson 9


Missouri (10 votos electorales)


Emerson: Trump 47, Clinton 39, Johnson 5, Stein 2
Reuters/Ipsos: Trump 48, Clinton 37
UPI/CVoter: Trump 52, Clinton 44
Google Consumer Surveys: Clinton 38, Trump 34, Johnson 8


Carolina del Norte (15 votos electorales)


PPP: Clinton 47, Trump 44, Johnson 4
Monmouth: Clinton 47, Trump 46, Johnson 4
SurveyUSA: Clinton 46, Trump 44, Johnson 6

The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Clinton 46, Trump 40, Johnson 9, Stein 3
Auto Alliance/ELSA/Pulse Opinion Research: Clinton 47, Trump 41, Johnson 6, Stein 3
The Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton 42, Trump 41, Johnson 8
Civitas: Clinton 44, Trump 42, Johnson 5
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 47, Trump 43
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 49, Trump 47


New Hampshire (4 votos electorales)


The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Clinton 47, Trump 36, Johnson 10, Stein 4
Emerson: Clinton 44, Trump 36, Johnson 10, Stein 6
University of New Hampshire: Clinton 49, Trump 34, Johnson 8, Stein 2
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 45, Trump 39
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 50, Trump 46


New Mexico (5 votos electorales)


The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Clinton 41, Trump 33, Johnson 18, Stein 5
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 51, Trump 35
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 51, Trump 44
Google Consumer Surveys: Clinton 40, Trump 26, Johnson 13


Nevada (6 votos electorales)


Las Vegas Review-Journal
: Clinton 48, Trump 41, Johnson 6

The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Trump 44, Clinton 40, Johnson 9, Stein 5
Rasmussen: Clinton 46, Trump 42, Johnson 5
Monmouth: Clinton 47, Trump 40, Johnson 7
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 48, Trump 43
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 48, Trump 45


Ohio (18 votos electorales)


The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Trump 44, Clinton 41, Johnson 9, Stein 4
Auto Alliance/ELSA/Pulse Opinion Research: Trump 43, Clinton 42, Johnson 6, Stein 3
Suffolk: Clinton 45, Trump 45, Johnson 2, Stein 1, Duncan 1
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 43, Trump 43
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 50, Trump 47


Pennsylvania (20 votos electorales)


The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Clinton 46, Trump 40, Johnson 8, Stein 3
Auto Alliance/ELSA/Pulse Opinion Research: Clinton 45, Trump 41, Johnson 6, Stein 3
Emerson: Clinton 45, Trump 41, Johnson 4, Stein 4
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 49, Trump 39
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 49, Trump 46


Texas (38 votos electorales)


YouGov/CBS: Trump 46, Clinton 43, Johnson 3, Stein 2

The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Trump 44, Clinton 42, Johnson 8, Stein 2
University of Houston: Trump 41, Clinton 38, Johnson 4, Stein 1
Reuters/Ipsos: Trump 52, Clinton 39
UPI/CVoter: Trump 54, Clinton 41
Google Consumer Surveys: Trump 41, Clinton 33, Johnson 8


Utah (6 votos electorales)


Emerson: McMullin 31, Trump 27, Clinton 24, Johnson 5
Dan Jones & Associates: Trump 30, McMullin 29, Clinton 25, Johnson 5
Rasmussen: Trump 30, McMullin 29, Clinton 28, Johnson 5
Reuters/Ipsos: Trump 41, Clinton 29
UPI/CVoter: Trump 65, Clinton 29


Virginia (13 votos electorales)


The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Clinton 49, Trump 38, Johnson 8, Stein 3
Christopher Newport University: Clinton 45, Trump 33, Johnson 8, McMullin 3, Stein 1
The Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton 43, Trump 38, Johnson 9, Stein 3
Tarrance Group/Cámara de Comercio de Virginia: Clinton 47, Trump 38, Otros 5
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 49, Trump 37
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 49, Trump 46


Wisconsin (10 votos electorales)


The Washington Post/SurveyMonkey: Clinton 43, Trump 38, Johnson 12, Stein 4
St. Norbert College: Clinton 47, Trump 39, Stein 3, Johnson 1
Monmouth: Clinton 47, Trump 40, Johnson 6, Stein 1
PPP: Clinton 50, Trump 38
Reuters/Ipsos: Clinton 45, Trump 42
UPI/CVoter: Clinton 51, Trump 46
Google Consumer Surveys: Clinton 38, Trump 29, Johnson 8


No encuentro encuestas del 2º Distrito de Nebraska, donde podría haber un voto electoral en juego.

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